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2022 U.S. Midterm Elections: Democracy, Abortion Tip the Balance

Pendulum : November 30, 2022

2022 U.S. Midterm Elections: Democracy, Abortion Tip the Balance

Pre-election polls indicated that inflation and other pocketbook issues were the most important issue to voters, and far-right leaders ran with election denialism narratives leading up to election day. However, Pendulum’s data shows that reproductive rights was a primary focus for Americans leading up to the election and continues to be top-of-mind in the unsettled elections.

To provide increased understanding of the factors that led to 2022’s anomalous election results–midterm races typically return some power to the opposition party–Pendulum evaluated three important races: Arizona’s gubernatorial race and the senate races in Georgia and Pennsylvania.

  • Election denialism was a key issue in only one of the three elections we reviewed: the Arizona gubernatorial race, a positive harbinger of the 2024 presidential election. Kari Lake was one of 32 Republicans out of 46 who lost at the state level running on a platform that President Joseph Biden stole the 2020 presidential election, according to States United Action, a nonpartisan organization focused on safeguarding democracy.
  • In the three races we highlighted, inflation was part of each candidate’s platform but was not discernibly more significant than the threat to abortion or democracy.

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